Penn St vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Penn St is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Penn State vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Penn State (5-6) visit SHI Stadium to take on Rutgers (5-6) on Nov. 29 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Penn St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Penn State vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State-13.5 -10556.5 -110-500
Rutgers +13.5 -11556.5 -110375

Penn State vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn St and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Penn State vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rutgers will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.02 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Penn St is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • Penn State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -42.85 Units / -85.53% ROI
  • Penn State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
  • Penn State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers iss 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.15% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • Rutgers is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.04% ROI
  • Rutgers is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -13.82% ROI

Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Penn State was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Penn State was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers is 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. Rutgers

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers is 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Penn State was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Penn State was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Penn State was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Penn State was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers is 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Penn State was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Penn State was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers is 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486


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