- Oregon is a -35.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
- Oregon State vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Oregon State (0-3) visit Autzen Stadium to take on Oregon (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-105).
The Oregon State vs. Oregon Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Oregon State vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon State | +35.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 | |
| Oregon | -35.5 -105 | 55.5 -105 |
Oregon State vs Oregon Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon State vs Oregon Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 73.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon State Best Bets Today
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Oregon Best Bets Today
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Oregon State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Oregon State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Oregon is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 2.5% ROI
- Oregon is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Oregon is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Oregon State is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
Oregon State is 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527
Oregon State was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Oregon State was 2-4 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Oregon was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468
Oregon is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501
Oregon is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Oregon is undefeated (16-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: .596
Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Oregon
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.3% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s WRs has 246 receptions in 17 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 911 passing yards in 3 games (303.7 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 133.3 passing yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s QBs has thrown for 894 passing yards in 3 games (298.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 133.3 passing yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 80 yards on 13 receptions (just 6.2 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 911 passing yards in 3 games (303.7 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 133.3 passing yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s QBs has thrown for 894 passing yards in 3 games (298.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 133.3 passing yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 80 yards on 13 receptions (just 6.2 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon TEs were targeted 24 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Oregon RBs have rushed for 260 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon TEs have been targeted 26 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Oregon RBs have rushed for 10 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.3% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 17 of 88 attempts (19%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Oregon State did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Oregon State allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Oregon State has allowed 17 receptions for 20+ yards this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon has allowed no passing TDs (72 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 24.6
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
Oregon has allowed no passing TDs (72 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.2
Oregon has not allowed any touchdowns on 41 completions this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 17.5
Oregon has not allowed any touchdowns on 41 completions this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 15.0
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