Oregon St vs Appalachian St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

The stadium namesake "The Rock" rests outside of the stadium before a football game between the Appalachian State and North Carolina Tar Heels , Saturday Sept. 3, 2022, in Boone, N.C. (AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
(AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
  • Appalachian St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
  • Oregon State vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Oregon State (0-5) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on Appalachian State (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Appalachian St is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Oregon State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Oregon State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State+1.5 -11053.5 -110100
Appalachian State -1.5 -11053.5 -110-120

Oregon State vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 55.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and Appalachian St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • App State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • Oregon State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Oregon State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian St iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Appalachian State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Appalachian State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Appalachian State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 15 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 87 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

Appalachian State has 301 receptions in 14 games (21.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,073 passing yards in 3 games (357.7 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 281.5 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State has 301 receptions in 14 games (21.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,073 passing yards in 3 games (357.7 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 281.5 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 15 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 87 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 15 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 87 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has 301 receptions in 14 games (21.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,073 passing yards in 3 games (357.7 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 281.5 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 15 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 87 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has 301 receptions in 14 games (21.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,073 passing yards in 3 games (357.7 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 281.5 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.


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