- Penn St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Oregon
- Oregon vs. Penn State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Oregon (4-0) visit West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium to take on Penn State (3-0) on Sep. 27 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Penn St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Oregon vs. Penn State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon | +3.5 -115 | 51.5 -105 | 140 |
| Penn State | -3.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 | -170 |
Oregon vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 60.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Penn St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon Best Bets Today
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+13.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets Today
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.12 Units / 50% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Oregon is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 2.5% ROI
- Oregon is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn St iss 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Penn State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Penn State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Penn State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 14 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Penn State WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Penn State TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (127/16) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has averaged 15.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Penn State
Penn State WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Penn State TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (127/16) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has averaged 15.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 14 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 14 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Penn State TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (127/16) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has averaged 15.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 106 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 14 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon has gained 1,069 yards on 76 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Penn State TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (127/16) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has averaged 15.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 137 receptions in 19 games (just 7.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
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