- Oregon is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- Oregon vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Oregon (2-0) visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on Northwestern (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-115).
The Oregon vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon | -27.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -10000 |
| Northwestern | ++27.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | 2000 |
Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 88.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon Best Bets Today
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets Today
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Oregon is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.9% ROI
- Oregon is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Oregon is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Northwestern is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Oregon was undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Oregon was undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .575
Oregon is undefeated (15-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: .592
Oregon is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .521
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Northwestern is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Northwestern is winless (0-7) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .476
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Northwestern
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.4% of 49 attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 3.4% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.4% of 49 attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 3.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 567 passing yards in 2 games (283.5 YPG) this season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 131.0 passing yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Oregon RBs have rushed for 5 TDs this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Oregon TEs were targeted 24 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.4% of 49 attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 3.4% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.4% of 49 attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 3.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
Oregon has not allowed any touchdowns on 23 completions this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 20.9
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (23 completions/31 attempts) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (17 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%
Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 38.1
Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has allowed 160.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 80.9
Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Northwestern tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 67 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.
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