Oregon vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Fans cheer before an NCAA college football game between Iowa and North Texas at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa, Sept. 16, 2017. Iowa will attempt to set the all-time women's basketball attendance record when it hosts DePaul in an outdoor exhibition at 69,000-seat Kinnick Stadium on Oct. 15, the school announced Thursday, Aug. 10, 2023.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Oregon is a -6 point favorite vs. Iowa
  • Oregon vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Oregon (7-1) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa (6-2) on Nov. 8 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Oregon vs. Iowa Over/Under is 40.5 total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Oregon & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Oregon vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon-6 -11040.5 -105-250
Iowa +6 -11040.5 -115200

Oregon vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 65.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Iowa vs Oregon and all games with BetMGM


  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+1.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.64 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • Oregon is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 2.32% ROI
  • Oregon is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oregon is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa iss 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.84 Units / 32.61% ROI).

  • Iowa is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 20.1% ROI
  • Iowa is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Iowa is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.53% ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 222 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon has gained 1,969 yards on 156 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7

Oregon’s TEs has gained 444 yards on 31 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.4

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Iowa

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 222 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon has gained 1,969 yards on 156 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7

Oregon’s TEs has gained 444 yards on 31 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.4

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 222 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon has gained 1,969 yards on 156 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7

Oregon’s TEs has gained 444 yards on 31 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.4

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 222 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon has gained 1,969 yards on 156 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7

Oregon’s TEs has gained 444 yards on 31 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.4

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2


Bet now on Iowa vs Oregon and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.