Oklahoma St vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

FILE - Oregon coach Dan Lanning reacts to a play against BYU during the first half of an NCAA college football game Sept. 17, 2022, in Eugene, Ore. Oregon and head coach Dan Lanning have agreed to a contract extension that will extend his deal through the 2028 season. The Oregon Board of Trustees unanimously approved the terms of the contract Thursday, July 27, 2023. Lanningโ€™s new deal will pay him a total of $45 million in base salary over six years. (AP Photo/Andy Nelson, File)
(AP Photo/Andy Nelson)
  • Oregon is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • Oklahoma State vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS

Oklahoma State (1-0) visit Autzen Stadium to take on Oregon (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Oklahoma State vs. Oregon Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State+28.5 -11057.5 -115+1800
Oregon -28.5 -11057.5 -105-10000

Oklahoma State vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 88.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.55% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Oregon is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.22% ROI
  • Oregon is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Oregon is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Oklahoma State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577

Oklahoma State was 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439

Oklahoma State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .532

Oklahoma State was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .380

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Oregon was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Oregon was undefeated (10-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: .443

Oregon was undefeated (12-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: .625

Oregon was undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Oregon

Jay Harris (ORE) has gained 50 yards after catch this season — 2nd-most of Qualified Big Ten Running Backs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 109 yards after catch this season — 5th-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s defense allowed a touchdown every inf carries this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.

Jay Harris (ORE) has gained 50 yards after catch this season — 5th-most of Qualified Power 5 Running Backs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 109 yards after catch this season — 5th-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State has gained 232 yards on 18 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 8.6 RAC this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has been targeted 25 times this season — 4th-most among Big 12 WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 198 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big Ten defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State WRs were targeted 77 times in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma State WRs caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma State WRs picked up first downs on 31 receptions in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State TEs averaged just 6.0 yards per reception (18 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Oklahoma State has gained 232 yards on 18 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Oregon have rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

Oregon WRs caught 189 of 247 passes(77% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Oregon WRs have caught 220 of 286 passes (77% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 61%

Oregon TEs have been targeted 25 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State has sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (4/17) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Oklahoma State has sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (4/17) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Oklahoma State allowed 500.6 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 355.6

Oklahoma State allowed 66 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State allowed 199.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 137.0

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon has not allowed any touchdowns on 23 completions this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 20.9

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (3 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 58%

Oregon sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/394) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%

Oregon tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 44 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (23 completions/31 attempts) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%


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