Oklahoma St vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Arizona football stadium
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  • Arizona is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • Oklahoma State vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

Oklahoma State (1-3) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Arizona (3-1) on Oct. 4 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Oklahoma State vs. Arizona Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State+20.5 -11055.5 -105800
Arizona -20.5 -11055.5 -115-1400

Oklahoma State vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.43 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -17.27% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Arizona is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 11.98% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Arizona is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Oklahoma State is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Oklahoma State is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Arizona

Oklahoma State was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Oklahoma State is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Oklahoma State is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Oklahoma State is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Oklahoma State is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Oklahoma State is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Oklahoma State is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517


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