Oklahoma vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:36 AM

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Alabama head coach Kalen DeBoer watches warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Western Kentucky, Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024, in Tuscaloosa, Ala.

(AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)

Alabama is a -6 point favorite vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

Oklahoma (7-2) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (8-1) on Nov. 15 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Oklahoma vs. Alabama Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Oklahoma	+6 -110	45.5 -102	185
Alabama	-6 -110	45.5 -118	-225

Oklahoma vs Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 68.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Oklahoma Best Bets Today

Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Oklahoma have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 54% ROI)
Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Alabama Best Bets Today

Alabama have covered the Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Alabama has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

Oklahoma is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 6.73% ROI
Oklahoma is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
Oklahoma is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama iss 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI).

Alabama is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 4.77% ROI
Alabama is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Alabama is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Alabama have thrown 25 TDs and just one interception this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2

Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8

Alabama’s offense has thrown for 2,621 passing yards in 9 games (291.2 YPG) this season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 181.8 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 87 of 298 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 87 of 298 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 32 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 32 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Oklahoma has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 32 carries (16 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Alabama