Ohio St vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

BetMGM Betting Sep 26, 2025, 10:12 AM

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A general view of Husky Stadium during the first half of an NCAA college football game between Washington and Boise State, Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)

(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)

Ohio St is a -8 point favorite vs. Washington
Ohio State vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Ohio State (3-0) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on Washington (3-0) on Sep. 27 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Ohio State vs. Washington Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Ohio State	-8 -110	51.5 -105	-325
Washington	+8 -110	51.5 -115	260

Ohio State vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio St and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio State vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 73.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio State Best Bets Today

Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Ohio State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Washington Best Bets Today

Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Washington has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Washington has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Ohio State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.33% ROI
Ohio State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Ohio State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI).

Washington is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.95% ROI
Washington is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Washington is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Ohio State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Washington have averaged 28.4 yards per completion (256 yards/9 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0

Washington’s WRs has gained 583 yards on 36 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs has gained 26 yards on 5 receptions (just 5.2 YPR) this season — worst among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 828 passing yards in 3 games (276.0 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 118.3 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington has 354 receptions in 16 games (22.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Washington

Washington have averaged 28.4 yards per completion (256 yards/9 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0

Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington have averaged 28.4 yards per completion (256 yards/9 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Washington Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington have averaged 28.4 yards per completion (256 yards/9 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0

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