Ohio vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Rutgers is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Ohio
  • Ohio vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Ohio (0-0) visit SHI Stadium to take on the Rutgers (0-0) on Aug. 28 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Rutgers is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Ohio vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio+15.5 -10549.5 -110+500
Rutgers -15.5 -11549.5 -110-700

Ohio vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rutgers will win this game with 74.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.75 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 86% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers was 5-7 against the spread last college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -63.16% ROI
  • Rutgers is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Rutgers is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Ohio is 20-3 (.870) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Ohio is 14-2 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

Ohio was 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .574

Ohio is 14-2 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .531

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Rutgers is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

Rutgers is 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .429

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Rutgers is 6-11 (.353) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Rutgers

Rutgers’s TEs gained 191 yards on 28 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) last season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs had 28 receptions in 12 games (just 2.3 per game) last season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 2.7 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs gained 2,340 yards on 164 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s RBs had just 11.6 receiving yards per game last season — 9th-worst among FBS RBs. Rutgers’s defense allowed 40.2 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s QBs had 1,188 rushing yards last season — 4th-most among FBS teams. Rutgers’s defense allowed 2,116 rushing yards last season — 2nd-most among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio’s QBs rushed for 1,188 yards on 188 carries (6.3 YPC) last season — T-2nd-best among FBS teams. Rutgers’s defense allowed 5.2 YPC last season — T-4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio QBs rushed for 19 TDs in the 2024 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Ohio Skill Players have just one touchdown on 46 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Ohio Skill Players averaged just 15.4 receptions per game (216/14) in the 2024 season– T-27th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.7

Ohio QBs rushed for 16 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio RBs have averaged just 4.5 Yards per Carry (3,246 yards/715 carries) since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 17.5 yards per reception (613 yards/35 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Rutgers’s TEs gained 191 yards on 28 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) last season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs had 28 receptions in 12 games (just 2.3 per game) last season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 2.7 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (12 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Rutgers TEs averaged just 6.8 yards per reception (191 yards/28 catches) in the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.6

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 179 of 793 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Ohio has allowed 289.6 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 385.8

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 179 of 793 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 76 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.4

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 76 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

Rutgers did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 32 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 76 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1


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