Ohio vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• Ohio is a -7 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
• Ohio vs. Buffalo Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

Ohio (7-4) visit UB Stadium to take on Buffalo (5-6) on Nov. 28 in Buffalo, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Ohio vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Ohio vs Buffalo Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 67.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Buffalo U, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio Best Bets Today

• Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Buffalo Best Bets Today

• Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI).

• Ohio is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.35% ROI
• Ohio is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
• Ohio is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U iss 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI).

• Buffalo is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -13.34% ROI
• Buffalo is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
• Buffalo is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo

Buffalo has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (27/266) this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has allowed less than 300 passing yards in each of their last 10 games — the South Carolina Gamecocks have the longest active streak at 28.

Buffalo has averaged 3.0 sacks per game this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Buffalo

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Buffalo has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (27/266) this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has allowed less than 300 passing yards in each of their last 10 games — the South Carolina Gamecocks have the longest active streak at 28.

Buffalo has averaged 3.0 sacks per game this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (27/266) this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has allowed less than 300 passing yards in each of their last 10 games — the South Carolina Gamecocks have the longest active streak at 28.

Buffalo has averaged 3.0 sacks per game this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (27/266) this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Buffalo has allowed less than 300 passing yards in each of their last 10 games — the South Carolina Gamecocks have the longest active streak at 28.

Buffalo has averaged 3.0 sacks per game this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 274 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

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