Ohio vs Ball St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Ohio is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Ball St
  • Ohio vs. Ball State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Ohio (3-2) visit Scheumann Stadium to take on Ball State (1-3) on Oct. 4 in Muncie, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Ohio vs. Ball State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Ball St vs Ohio & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Ohio vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio-14.5 -11051.5 -115-650
Ball State +14.5 -11051.5 -105475

Ohio vs Ball State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 80.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Ball St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Ball St vs Ohio and all games with BetMGM


  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Ohio is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 3.26% ROI
  • Ohio is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Ohio is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball St iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Ball State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -28.99% ROI
  • Ball State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Ball State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State

Ohio has 286 receptions in 18 games (just 15.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Ball State

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Ohio has 286 receptions in 18 games (just 15.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has 286 receptions in 18 games (just 15.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has 286 receptions in 18 games (just 15.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 3,583 passing yards in 18 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 275.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442


Bet now on Ball St vs Ohio and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.