- Notre Dame is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Miami Florida
- Notre Dame vs. Miami Florida Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Notre Dame (0-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Florida (0-0) on Aug. 31 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Notre Dame vs. Miami Florida Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. Miami Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | -2.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -135 |
| Miami Florida | +2.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +115 |
Notre Dame vs Miami Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Miami Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs Miami Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Miami Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami Florida was 6-7 against the spread last college football season (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).
- Miami Florida is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.71% ROI
- Miami Florida is 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 39.86% ROI
- Miami Florida is 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -48.25% ROI
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida
Notre Dame is 20-1 (.952) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .638
Notre Dame was 7-1 (.875) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .443
Notre Dame was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Notre Dame was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .606
Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Miami (FL) was 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .431
Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .615
Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Miami (FL) was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. Miami Florida
Miami (FL)’s QBs threw for 4,520 passing yards in 13 games (347.7 YPG) last season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 169.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL)’s offense threw for 4,527 passing yards in 13 games (348.2 YPG) last season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 169.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL)’s WRs had 246.1 receiving yards per game last season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 113.7 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense threw for 3,170 passing yards in 16 games (just 198.1 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 214.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s QBs threw for 3,133 passing yards in 16 games (just 195.8 YPG) last season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 214.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs had 2 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame RBs averaged 6.9 Yards per Carry (2,115 yards/308 carries) in the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame RBs averaged 20.4 yards per reception (102 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1
Notre Dame’s offense threw for 3,170 passing yards in 16 games (just 198.1 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 214.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame RBs averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (1,020 yards/142 carries) in the 1st half in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) RBs averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (750 yards/97 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Miami (FL)’s QBs threw for 4,520 passing yards in 13 games (347.7 YPG) last season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 169.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL)’s offense threw for 4,527 passing yards in 13 games (348.2 YPG) last season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 169.4 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Miami (FL) TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 39.1 Passing Attempts per TD (742 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (381 completions/742 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (186 completions/371 attempts) in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (185 completions/359 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 22 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Miami (FL) tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 55 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Miami (FL) has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (33 completions/68 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (69/811) since the 2023 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Miami (FL) opponents did not attempt a two-point conversion (42 PATs) in the 2024 season– T-lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
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