- Notre Dame is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas
- Notre Dame vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Notre Dame (1-2) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (2-2) on Sep. 27 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Notre Dame vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | -4.5 -105 | 64.5 -110 | -190 |
| Arkansas | +4.5 -115 | 64.5 -110 | 160 |
Notre Dame vs Arkansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Notre Dame will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Notre Dame Best Bets Today
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -10.61% ROI
- Notre Dame is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Notre Dame is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas iss 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -11.5% ROI
- Arkansas is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Notre Dame RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs had 4 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 15 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame WRs averaged 27.0 yards per reception (216 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Notre Dame have averaged 19.7 yards per reception (473 yards/24 catches) on 1st down this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Arkansas TEs have averaged 23.9 yards per reception (359 yards/15 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 359 yards on 15 receptions (23.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s WRs has 242 receptions in 17 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has gained 1,297 yards on 86 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. Arkansas
Arkansas TEs have averaged 23.9 yards per reception (359 yards/15 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 359 yards on 15 receptions (23.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s WRs has 242 receptions in 17 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has gained 1,297 yards on 86 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs had 4 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 15 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame WRs averaged 27.0 yards per reception (216 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Notre Dame have averaged 19.7 yards per reception (473 yards/24 catches) on 1st down this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs had 4 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 15 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame WRs averaged 27.0 yards per reception (216 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Notre Dame have averaged 19.7 yards per reception (473 yards/24 catches) on 1st down this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas TEs have averaged 23.9 yards per reception (359 yards/15 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 359 yards on 15 receptions (23.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s WRs has 242 receptions in 17 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has gained 1,297 yards on 86 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs had 4 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 15 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame WRs averaged 27.0 yards per reception (216 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Notre Dame have averaged 19.7 yards per reception (473 yards/24 catches) on 1st down this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas TEs have averaged 23.9 yards per reception (359 yards/15 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 359 yards on 15 receptions (23.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s WRs has 242 receptions in 17 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has gained 1,297 yards on 86 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
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