- Tulane is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- Northwestern vs. Tulane Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The Northwestern (0-0) visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane (0-0) on Aug. 30 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Northwestern vs. Tulane Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northwestern | +5.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 | +170 |
| Tulane | -5.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 | -210 |
Northwestern vs Tulane Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 64.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Tulane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northwestern vs Tulane Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.45 Units / 61% ROI)
Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tulane have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 2% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane
Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .380
Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Tulane is 10-5 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Tulane is undefeated (12-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .705
Tulane was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Tulane is 17-4 (.810) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .556
Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Tulane
Tulane had 206 receptions in 14 games (just 14.7 per game) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulane had 206 receptions in 14 games (just 14.7 per game) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Tulane’s RBs had 2 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 1.8 rushing touchdowns per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s RBs averaged just 6.8 yards after the catch last season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense allowed just 10.4 RAC last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s QBs threw for 2,231 passing yards in 12 games (just 185.9 YPG) last season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense allowed just 177.7 passing yards per game last season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs had just 0.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among Power 5 WRs. Tulane’s defense allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulane WRs have averaged 16.0 yards per reception (4,717 yards/295 catches) since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Tulane TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulane had 206 receptions in 14 games (just 14.7 per game) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulane have completed passes for 20+ yards on 99 of their 697 total passing attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Tulane WRs averaged 16.5 yards per reception (2,361 yards/143 catches) in the 2024 season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3
Northwestern has no interceptions (96 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.9
Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.0
Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 40.3
Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 18%
Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulane has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 16 of 48 carries (33%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 52 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulane has allowed just 10.5 yards per completion (5,688 yards/544 completions) since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 11.9
Tulane opponents averaged 30.8 Passing Attempts per TD (401 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Tulane sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (34/401) in the 2024 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: 7%
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