- North Texas is a -10 point favorite vs. W Michigan
- North Texas vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
North Texas (1-0) visit Waldo Stadium to take on Western Michigan (0-1) on Sep. 6 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The North Texas vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | -10 -110 | 59.5 -110 | -375 |
| Western Michigan | +10 -110 | 59.5 -110 | +300 |
North Texas vs Western Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 73.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Western Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- North Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.45% ROI
- North Texas is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- North Texas is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Michigan is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Michigan is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
North Texas was 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .459
Western Michigan was 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Western Michigan was 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .622
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Western Michigan
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 176 yards on 11 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 176 yards on 11 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 23 yards on 11 carries (just 2.1 YPC) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense have allowed just 1.1 YPC this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas’s RBs has rushed for 88 yards on 30 carries (just 2.9 YPC) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC to RBs this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 39 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs averaged 21.2 receptions per game (254/12) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 176 yards on 11 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 176 yards on 11 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan WRs have averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (109 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Western Michigan WRs averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (83 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Western Michigan WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas forced 3 fumbles on 500 carries (166.7 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.7
North Texas forced 3 fumbles on 500 carries (166.7 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.8
North Texas has forced 5 fumbles on 571 carries (114.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.9
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6
North Texas has allowed just 1.1 Yards per Carry (31 yards/27 carries) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.2
Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan allowed 22 rushing TDs on just 66 carries (3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan allowed 22 rushing TDs on just 66 carries (3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 4.6
Western Michigan has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%
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