- North Texas is a -3 point favorite vs. San Diego St
- North Texas vs. San Diego State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- New Mexico Bowl TV Channel: ESPN
North Texas (11-2) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on San Diego State (9-3) on Dec. 27 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:45pm EST.
North Texas is a betting favorite in the New Mexico Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The North Texas vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | -3 -110 | 54.5 -115 | -155 |
| San Diego State | +3 -110 | 54.5 -105 | 130 |
North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 60.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and San Diego St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets Today
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.99 Units / 25% ROI)
San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 10-3 against the spread this college football season (+6.7 Units / 46.85% ROI).
- North Texas is 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 7.91% ROI
- North Texas is 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
- North Texas is 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego St iss 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.75 Units / 44.06% ROI).
- San Diego State is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 23.5% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
- San Diego State is 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
San Diego State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .449
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. San Diego State
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .449
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
San Diego State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
San Diego State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .449
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
San Diego State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .449
North Texas is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
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