- North Texas is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Army
- North Texas vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
North Texas (3-0) visit Michie Stadium to take on Army (1-1) on Sep. 20 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The North Texas vs. Army Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | -1.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | -125 |
| Army | +1.5 -105 | 50.5 -110 | 105 |
North Texas vs Army Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 65.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Army Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets Today
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.69 Units / 18% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.59 Units / 17% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Army Best Bets Today
- Army has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Army have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Army has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- North Texas is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.43% ROI
- North Texas is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- North Texas is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Army iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Army is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 3.03% ROI
- Army is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Army is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Army
North Texas was 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420
North Texas is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613
North Texas is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .650
North Texas was 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Army: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Army was 12-1 (.923) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .624
Army was undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Army was 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Army
Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 28 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Army’s offense has thrown for 226 passing yards in 2 games (just 113.0 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 128.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Army’s offense has thrown for 226 passing yards in 2 games (just 113.0 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 128.7 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 5,036 passing yards in 16 games (314.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 182.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 800 passing yards in 3 games (266.7 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 162.0 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 5,067 passing yards in 16 games (316.7 YPG) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 182.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses
North Texas had 8 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses
North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses
North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Army Offensive Stats & Trends
Army Skill Players averaged 17.1 yards per reception (1,128 yards/66 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Army averaged 80.6 Passing Yards per game (1,128/14) last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2
Army have been targeted 9.2 times per game (148/16) since the 2024 season– lowest among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.2
Army Skill Players have been targeted 9.1 times per game (146/16) since the 2024 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7
Army Skill Players have averaged just 5.1 receptions per game (82/16) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has allowed one passing TD (76 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.8
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
North Texas has allowed one touchdown on 43 completions this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 147.8
Army Defensive Stats & Trends
Army has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 84 carries (7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Army allowed 10 rushing TDs on 73 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Army allowed 10 rushing TDs on 73 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Army allowed 27.2 carries per game (381 carries / 14 games) last season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3
Army allowed 91.9 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 144.7
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