- Wake Forest is a -6.5 point favorite vs. North Carolina
- North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
North Carolina (4-5) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Wake Forest (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST.
Wake Forest is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (100).
The North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 38.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +6.5 -120 | 38.5 -110 | 180 |
| Wake Forest | -6.5 100 | 38.5 -110 | -220 |
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 72.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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North Carolina Best Bets Today
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.81 Units / 48% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Wake Forest Best Bets Today
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- North Carolina is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.48% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -67.84% ROI
- North Carolina is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 59.9% ROI
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 21.55% ROI
- Wake Forest is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI
- Wake Forest is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
Wake Forest was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
North Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
North Carolina is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .421
North Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest
North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
North Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
North Carolina is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .421
North Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Wake Forest was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .419
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
North Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
North Carolina is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .421
North Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
North Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
North Carolina is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .421
North Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
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