North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • NC State is a -7.5 point favorite vs. North Carolina
  • North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

North Carolina (4-7) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on North Carolina State (6-5) on Nov. 29 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

NC State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina+7.5 -11047.5 -110240
North Carolina State -7.5 -11047.5 -110-295

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts NC State will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.61 Units / 37% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.47 Units / 13% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -7.08% ROI
  • North Carolina is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -39.09% ROI
  • North Carolina is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 30.71% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State iss 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.92% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.23% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina averaged 3.5 sacks per game last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500


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