North Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

  • North Carolina is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • North Carolina vs. Charlotte Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

North Carolina (0-1) visit Jerry Richardson Stadium to take on Charlotte (0-1) on Sep. 6 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. Charlotte Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Charlotte Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-13.5 -11049.5 -110-500
Charlotte +13.5 -11049.5 -110+375

North Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction:

The winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Charlotte, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Carolina vs Charlotte Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.75 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Charlotte have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • North Carolina is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • North Carolina is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Charlotte is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

Charlotte was 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418

Charlotte was 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Charlotte was 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Charlotte was 2-4 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .533

Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Charlotte

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 56 yards on 22 carries (just 2.5 YPC) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense have allowed 7.4 YPC this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 56 yards on 22 carries (just 2.5 YPC) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense have allowed 7.4 YPC this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 56 yards on 22 carries (just 2.5 YPC) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense have allowed 7.4 YPC this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Caleb Hood (UNC) has gained 15 yards after catch this season — 9th-most of Qualified ACC Running Backs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 404 yards after catch this season — 3rd-most among NonP5 defenses.

Max Johnson (UNC) has averaged 9.4 YPA on 11 pass attempts this season — 5th-best of Qualified ACC Quarterbacks. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 8.1 YPA this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Charlotte WRs averaged 26.5 yards per reception (212 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Charlotte WRs have averaged 25.6 yards per reception (282 yards/11 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Charlotte WRs have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (2,249 yards/124 catches) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (600 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 38 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Charlotte has allowed 404.0 receiving yards per game (404/1) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 188.8

Charlotte has allowed 404.0 Passing Yards per game (404/1) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 207.2

Charlotte allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 18%

Charlotte’s opponents has attempted 50.0 passes per game this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.