- UCLA is a -15.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
- New Mexico vs. UCLA Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
New Mexico (1-1) visit Rose Bowl to take on UCLA (0-2) on Sep. 12 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT.
UCLA is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. UCLA Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | ++15.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 | 450 |
| UCLA | -15.5 -110 | 52.5 -115 | -625 |
New Mexico vs UCLA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and UCLA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Best Bets Today
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.45 Units / 5% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets Today
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 11.76% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UCLA is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -100% ROI
- UCLA is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- UCLA is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
New Mexico is winless (0-2) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .428
New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
New Mexico is winless (0-2) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .368
New Mexico was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
UCLA is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .529
UCLA was 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
UCLA was 2-7 (.222) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .460
UCLA was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. UCLA
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 363 passing yards in 2 games (just 181.5 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 204.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
New Mexico’s TEs has gained 274 yards on 40 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS TEs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 2,084 yards on 331 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico TEs have averaged 12.0 receptions per game (12/1) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
New Mexico TEs have been targeted 5 times in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 363 passing yards in 2 games (just 181.5 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 204.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
New Mexico TEs have been targeted 16.0 times per game (16/1) this season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
New Mexico RBs have been targeted 13.0 times per game (13/1) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 45 carries (15 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
New Mexico averaged a sack every 35.9 pass attempts (395 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA has allowed 54.0 carries per game (54 carries / 1 games) this season– highest in the Big Ten; Average: 30.2
UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
UCLA has allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
UCLA has allowed 4 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
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