New Mexico St vs UTEP Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • UTEP is a -3 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
  • New Mexico State vs. UTEP Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

New Mexico State (3-7) visit Sun Bowl to take on UTEP (2-8) on Nov. 22 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

UTEP is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The New Mexico State vs. UTEP Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State+3 -10545.5 -118140
UTEP -3 -11545.5 -102-165

New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UTEP will win this game with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico St and UTEP, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

New Mexico State vs UTEP Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.87 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico St is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • New Mexico State is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -14.72% ROI
  • New Mexico State is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • New Mexico State is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP iss 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.92% ROI).

  • UTEP is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -49.6% ROI
  • UTEP is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
  • UTEP is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI

New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

New Mexico State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 35 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 15.6

New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (642 yards/188 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico State threw 0 TDs on 53 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

New Mexico State have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. UTEP

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

New Mexico State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 35 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 15.6

New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (642 yards/188 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico State threw 0 TDs on 53 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

New Mexico State have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

New Mexico State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 35 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 15.6

New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (642 yards/188 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico State threw 0 TDs on 53 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

New Mexico State have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

New Mexico State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 35 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 15.6

New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (642 yards/188 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico State threw 0 TDs on 53 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

New Mexico State have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTEP has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4


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