- Tennessee is a -39.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
- New Mexico State vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
New Mexico State (3-6) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EST.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -39.5 (-115).
The New Mexico State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +39.5 -105 | 61.5 -110 | |
| Tennessee | -39.5 -115 | 61.5 -110 |
New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 89.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico St and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico St is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -14.72% ROI
- New Mexico State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- New Mexico State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee iss 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI).
- Tennessee is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 2.72% ROI
- Tennessee is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Tennessee is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
New Mexico State has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 43 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 307 carries (51.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Tennessee is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .611
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Tennessee
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Tennessee is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .611
New Mexico State has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 43 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 307 carries (51.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 43 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 307 carries (51.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Tennessee is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .611
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 43 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 307 carries (51.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Tennessee is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .611
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