- New Mexico is a -14 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
- New Mexico State vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ALT | MWN
New Mexico State (2-1) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on New Mexico (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14 (-105).
The New Mexico State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +14 -115 | 54.5 -115 | 425 |
| New Mexico | -14 -105 | 54.5 -105 | -600 |
New Mexico State vs New Mexico Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 80.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico St and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.66 Units / 21% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets Today
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.36 Units / 3% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico St is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 11.25% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- New Mexico is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 61.05% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (115 yards/47 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico State has 197 receptions in 15 games (just 13.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 15 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 15 games (just 165.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 272.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.7 receptions per game (23/3) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
New Mexico’s TEs has 23 receptions in 3 games (7.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
New Mexico WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. New Mexico
New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.7 receptions per game (23/3) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
New Mexico’s TEs has 23 receptions in 3 games (7.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
New Mexico WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (115 yards/47 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico State has 197 receptions in 15 games (just 13.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 15 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 15 games (just 165.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 272.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (115 yards/47 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico State has 197 receptions in 15 games (just 13.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 15 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 15 games (just 165.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 272.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.7 receptions per game (23/3) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
New Mexico’s TEs has 23 receptions in 3 games (7.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
New Mexico WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (115 yards/47 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico State has 197 receptions in 15 games (just 13.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 15 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 15 games (just 165.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 272.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.7 receptions per game (23/3) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
New Mexico’s TEs has 23 receptions in 3 games (7.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
New Mexico WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
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