- Louisiana Tech is a -10 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
- New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
New Mexico State (2-0) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on Louisiana Tech (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Ruston, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Louisiana Tech is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | 280 |
| Louisiana Tech | -10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -375 |
New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico St and Louisiana Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Louisiana Tech Best Bets Today
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 21.36% ROI
- New Mexico State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisiana Tech iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Louisiana Tech is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Louisiana Tech was winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Louisiana Tech was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Louisiana Tech was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech’s WRs has gained 109 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s WRs has gained 109 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana Tech has gained 222 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico State has 182 receptions in 14 games (just 13.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 396 attempts since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has averaged 28.5 targets per game this season — T-11th-highest among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 16.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs had no receptions on 13 targets in the Red Zone last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 52%
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State has 182 receptions in 14 games (just 13.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 396 attempts since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has averaged 28.5 targets per game this season — T-11th-highest among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 16.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech’s WRs has gained 109 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s WRs has gained 109 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana Tech has gained 222 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana Tech has gained 222 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 1,422 yards on 338 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State has forced 3 fumbles on 532 carries (177.3 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.3
Louisiana Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech opponents averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (23 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 36.5 Passing Attempts per TD (438 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4
Louisiana Tech has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.69
Louisiana Tech opponents averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (23 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 21 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
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