- Michigan is a -34.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
- New Mexico vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
The New Mexico (0-0) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-115).
The New Mexico vs. Michigan Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | +34.5 -105 | 49.5 -110 | + |
| Michigan | -34.5 -115 | 49.5 -110 | + |
New Mexico vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 89.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+14.90 Units / 237% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
New Mexico is winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
New Mexico is 1-9 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .436
New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .431
New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Michigan is 18-1 (.947) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .595
Michigan is 16-1 (.941) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .601
Michigan is 17-1 (.944) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .637
Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Michigan
Michigan’s QBs threw for 1,655 passing yards in 13 games (just 127.3 YPG) last season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense allowed 279.2 passing yards per game last season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense threw for 1,678 passing yards in 13 games (just 129.1 YPG) last season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 279.2 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Michigan’s TEs had 79 receptions in 13 games (6.1 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. New Mexico’s defense allowed 21.3 receptions per game last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s TEs gained 138 yards on 22 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — worst among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s TEs gained 138 yards on 22 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — worst among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs rushed for 1,846 yards on 283 carries (6.5 YPC) last season — T-3rd-best among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 3.1 YPC last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico’s TEs gained 138 yards on 22 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — worst among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
New Mexico’s TEs gained 138 yards on 22 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — worst among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico RBs averaged 6.5 Yards per Carry (1,846 yards/283 carries) in the 2024 season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
New Mexico QBs averaged 96.1 rushing yards per game (1,153/12) in the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 28.4
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.7 yards per reception (316 yards/41 catches) in the 1st half in the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.8
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (694 yards/74 catches) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan’s QBs threw for 1,655 passing yards in 13 games (just 127.3 YPG) last season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense allowed 279.2 passing yards per game last season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense threw for 1,678 passing yards in 13 games (just 129.1 YPG) last season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 279.2 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Michigan Skill Players averaged just 9.0 yards per reception (1,603 yards/179 catches) in the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 33 of 708 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.0
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
New Mexico has allowed 7.7 touchdowns per interception (54 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
Michigan allowed 9 rushing TDs on 66 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Michigan allowed 8 touchdowns on 229 completions (28.6 Completions Per TD) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 12.2
Michigan has allowed 91.1 rushing yards per game (2,459/27) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 138.9
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