- Penn St is a -44.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- Nevada vs. Penn State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS | PAR+
The Nevada (0-0) visit West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State (0-0) on Aug. 30 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Penn St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -44.5 (-110).
The Nevada vs. Penn State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Nevada vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | +44.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 | + |
| Penn State | -44.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 | + |
Nevada vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 89.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and Penn St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nevada vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Nevada is winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
Nevada was winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Nevada is 2-18 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .452
Nevada is winless (0-12) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .436
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Penn State was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .431
Penn State was 7-2 (.778) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482
Penn State was 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .633
Penn State was 8-1 (.889) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .634
Matchup Notes for Nevada vs. Penn State
Penn State’s TEs had 127 receptions in 16 games (7.9 per game) last season — best among P5 TEs. Nevada’s defense allowed just 16.2 receptions per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs gained 1,640 yards on 102 receptions (16.1 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten WRs. Nevada’s defense allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State had 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nevada’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s TEs gained 105 yards on 16 receptions (just 6.6 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs gained 353 yards on 57 receptions (just 6.2 YPR) last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada’s TEs gained 105 yards on 16 receptions (just 6.6 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (345 yards/107 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Nevada Skill Players have fumbled 11 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Nevada’s RBs gained 353 yards on 57 receptions (just 6.2 YPR) last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (110/14) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs picked up first downs on 32 receptions on 1st down in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs caught 9 touchdown passes in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs have caught 21 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most in FBS
Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) in the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) in the 2024 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Nevada has tackled opponents for a loss on just 106 of 919 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Nevada allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (33 completions/49 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State allowed 4 rushing TDs on 49 carries (12.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 210 of 886 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Penn State allowed 7 rushing TDs on 452 carries (64.6 Carries Per TD) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Penn State allowed 7 rushing TDs on 452 carries (64.6 Carries Per TD) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.4
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