- Nebraska is a -7 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
- Nebraska vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Nebraska (0-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Cincinnati (0-0) on Aug. 28 in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Nebraska vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Nebraska vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nebraska | -7 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -275 |
| Cincinnati | +7 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +220 |
Nebraska vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 66.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nebraska vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.25 Units / 86% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati was 5-7 against the spread last college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -63.16% ROI
- Cincinnati is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Cincinnati is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Nebraska is 5-8 (.385) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Nebraska is 11-10 (.524) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .660
Nebraska is 10-5 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .531
Nebraska is 11-10 (.524) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .616
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska
Cincinnati is 2-10 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Cincinnati is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Cincinnati is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s RBs averaged 10.5 yards after the catch last season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s RBs averaged 10.5 yards after the catch last season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense allowed 11.6 RAC last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Cincinnati averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Nebraska’s defense allowed 11.6 RAC last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Nebraska’s TEs gained 533 yards on 48 receptions (11.1 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs gained 1,923 yards on 170 receptions (just 11.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s offense averaged just 1.0 passing TDs per game last season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 1.3 passing TDs per game last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska’s TEs gained 533 yards on 48 receptions (11.1 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs gained 1,923 yards on 170 receptions (just 11.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1
Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Nebraska RBs have fumbled 6 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati RBs averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (379 yards / 41 touches) on 3rd down in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Cincinnati Skill Players averaged just 10.0 yards per reception (677 yards/68 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
Cincinnati RBs averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (379 yards / 41 touches) in close and late situations in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Cincinnati’s RBs averaged 10.5 yards after the catch last season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska has no interceptions (83 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.9
Nebraska has allowed 17 rushing TDs on 766 carries (45.1 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5
Nebraska had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.0
Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.4
Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 9.5
Cincinnati has no interceptions (99 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 40.6
Cincinnati has no interceptions (99 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.5
Cincinnati has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 49 of their 810 carries (6%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4%
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.8
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