- NC State is a -7 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
- North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
North Carolina State (2-0) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Wake Forest (2-0) on Sep. 11 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | -7 -115 | 51.5 -105 | -275 |
| Wake Forest | ++7 -105 | 51.5 -115 | 220 |
North Carolina State vs Wake Forest Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 88.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Carolina State vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wake Forest Best Bets Today
- Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 30.08% ROI
- North Carolina State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Carolina State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.81% ROI
- Wake Forest is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Wake Forest is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442
North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Wake Forest was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Wake Forest is 3-8 (.273) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Wake Forest was 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest
Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.8% of 54 attempts this season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s WRs has 212 receptions in 14 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 14.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 403 yards on 24 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 56 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 68 yards on 9 receptions (just 7.6 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 56 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.8% of 54 attempts this season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s WRs has 212 receptions in 14 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 14.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 403 yards on 24 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest Skill Players have no touchdowns on 20 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Wake Forest’s WRs has 212 receptions in 14 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has allowed 383.0 Passing Yards per game (383/1) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 170.5
North Carolina State has allowed 383.0 receiving yards per game (383/1) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 170.5
North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (51 completions/75 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
North Carolina State allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (27 completions/35 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (35 completions/44 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 56%
Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Wake Forest has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (12 completions/33 attempts) this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
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