- Navy is a -14 point favorite vs. Tulsa
- Navy vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Navy (2-0) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on Tulsa (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Navy is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The Navy vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Navy vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | -14 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -600 |
| Tulsa | +14 -110 | 52.5 -110 | 425 |
Navy vs Tulsa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Tulsa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 72.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Navy Best Bets Today
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Navy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Tulsa Best Bets Today
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Navy is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.69% ROI
- Navy is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Navy is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tulsa iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Tulsa is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -16.44% ROI
- Tulsa is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Tulsa is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
Navy was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Navy is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Navy was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Navy was 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Tulsa was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372
Tulsa was winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Tulsa was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Tulsa was winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. Tulsa
Tulsa has averaged just 9.7 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s WRs has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 15.2 RAC to WRs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s WRs has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has 112 receptions in 15 games (just 7.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has averaged 16.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Navy has gained 1,853 yards on 112 receptions (16.5 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy Skill Players have averaged 16.5 yards per reception (1,853 yards/112 catches) since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Navy Skill Players averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (97/13) last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Navy Skill Players averaged 22.2 yards per reception (667 yards/30 catches) on 1st down last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Navy has 112 receptions in 15 games (just 7.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has averaged 16.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa RBs have been targeted 6 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs have carried the ball 9 times on 3rd down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs have averaged 266.0 rushing yards per game (266/1) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8
Tulsa RBs were targeted 32 times on 3rd down last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs were targeted 7.5 times per game (90/12) last season– T-6th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Navy Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Navy has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Navy allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (16 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Navy has sacked opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts (5/28) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Navy allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (16 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa has sacked opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts (5/19) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most in FBS
Tulsa did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Tulsa allowed 316.0 receiving yards per game (3,792/12) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 220.0
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