- Toledo is a -14.5 point favorite vs. N Illinois
- Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Northern Illinois (2-6) visit Glass Bowl to take on Toledo (4-4) on Nov. 5 in Toledo, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | +14.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | 500 |
| Toledo | -14.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -700 |
Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 78.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and Toledo, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northern Illinois Best Bets Today
- Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.41 Units / 3% ROI)
Toledo Best Bets Today
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -30.86% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Toledo is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -14.74% ROI
- Toledo is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Toledo is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo
Northern Illinois have thrown one TD on 178 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 3,145 passing yards in 21 games (just 149.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 183.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has averaged just 9.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Skill Players have no touchdowns on 15 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Toledo RBs averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,147 yards/313 carries) last season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Toledo
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Skill Players have no touchdowns on 15 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Toledo RBs averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,147 yards/313 carries) last season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois have thrown one TD on 178 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 3,145 passing yards in 21 games (just 149.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 183.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has averaged just 9.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois have thrown one TD on 178 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 3,145 passing yards in 21 games (just 149.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 183.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has averaged just 9.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Skill Players have no touchdowns on 15 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Toledo RBs averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,147 yards/313 carries) last season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois have thrown one TD on 178 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 825 passing yards in 8 games (just 103.1 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 142.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 3,145 passing yards in 21 games (just 149.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 183.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has averaged just 9.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Skill Players have no touchdowns on 15 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Toledo RBs averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,147 yards/313 carries) last season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
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