N Illinois vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 12, 2025, 4:15 PM

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(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

N Illinois is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
Northern Illinois vs. Massachusetts Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
TV Channel: ESPNU

Northern Illinois (2-7) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on Massachusetts (0-9) on Nov. 12 in Amherst, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

N Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Northern Illinois vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Northern Illinois	-10.5 -110	43.5 -105	-425
Massachusetts	+10.5 -110	43.5 -115	320

Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and Massachusetts, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Northern Illinois Best Bets Today

Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.26 Units / 2% ROI)

Massachusetts Best Bets Today

Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+8.40 Units / 91% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

N Illinois is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).

Northern Illinois is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -35.64% ROI
Northern Illinois is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Northern Illinois is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts iss 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI).

Massachusetts is 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.65 Units / -100% ROI
Massachusetts is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Massachusetts is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

UMass’s opponents attempted just 22.4 passes per game last season– lowest in FBS; Average: 30.5

UMass has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (12 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 63%

UMass has no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.1

UMass has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 38 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21

Northern Illinois allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0

Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Northern Illinois allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 5.1

Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Massachusetts