- Maryland is a -18.5 point favorite vs. N Illinois
- Northern Illinois vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Northern Illinois (1-0) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (1-0) on Sep. 5 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The Northern Illinois vs. Maryland Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | +18.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | +625 |
| Maryland | -18.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | -1000 |
Northern Illinois vs Maryland Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 68.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs Maryland Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+14.10 Units / 119% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+4.40 Units / 124% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 35% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Maryland is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Maryland is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Maryland is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Northern Illinois was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Northern Illinois is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Northern Illinois is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .595
Northern Illinois was 5-3 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .392
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Maryland is 3-6 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Maryland
Northern Illinois has gained 109 yards on 14 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northern Illinois has gained 109 yards on 14 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois Skill Players had no touchdowns on 41 receptions in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Northern Illinois RBs have carried the ball 12 times in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois Skill Players have no touchdowns on 35 receptions in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Northern Illinois RBs have been targeted 4 times on 3rd down this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois Skill Players have averaged just 14.0 receptions per game (14/1) this season– T-31st-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland WRs have been targeted 19.0 times per game (19/1) in the 1st half this season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.2
Maryland Skill Players have been targeted 14 times on 3rd down this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 126 times on 3rd down in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Maryland TEs have been targeted 10.0 times per game (10/1) in the 1st half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1
Maryland TEs have been targeted 10.0 times per game (10/1) in the 1st half this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.2
Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has allowed 10 rushing TDs on 438 carries (43.8 Carries Per TD) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.3
Northern Illinois has allowed 1.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (33 yards / 27 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Northern Illinois has allowed 171.3 Passing Yards per game (4,455/26) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 222.8
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has averaged 6.00 interceptions per game (6/1) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.70
Maryland has averaged 6.00 interceptions per game (6/1) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.73
Maryland has 6 interceptions this season– most in FBS
Maryland has averaged 6.00 interceptions per game (6/1) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 1.17
Maryland has 6 interceptions this season– most in the Big Ten
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