Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• Missouri is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas
• Missouri vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
• TV Channel: SECN

Missouri (7-4) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (2-9) on Nov. 29 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 62.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Missouri Best Bets Today

• Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• Missouri have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.73 Units / 5% ROI)

Arkansas Best Bets Today

• Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.15% ROI).

• Missouri is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.88% ROI
• Missouri is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
• Missouri is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas iss 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

• Arkansas is 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -35.28% ROI
• Arkansas is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
• Arkansas is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 63%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 12.9 yards per completion (2,453 yards/190 completions) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 41 of 301 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Arkansas

Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 63%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 12.9 yards per completion (2,453 yards/190 completions) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 41 of 301 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 63%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 12.9 yards per completion (2,453 yards/190 completions) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 41 of 301 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 63%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 12.9 yards per completion (2,453 yards/190 completions) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 41 of 301 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last season– fewest among FBS Teams

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