Mississippi St vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Texas A&M is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
• Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
• TV Channel: SECN

Mississippi State (4-1) visit Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M (4-0) on Oct. 4 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 70.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Mississippi State Best Bets Today

• Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Texas A&M Best Bets Today

• Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)
• Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)
• Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi St is 5-0 against the spread this college football season (+5 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Mississippi State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 4.84% ROI
• Mississippi State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
• Mississippi State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M iss 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

• Texas A&M is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 7.39% ROI
• Texas A&M is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Texas A&M is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/448) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/341) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Mississippi State allowed 2,603 rushing yards last season– most in the SEC

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 71 receptions (13%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Matchup Notes for Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 71 receptions (13%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/448) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/341) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Mississippi State allowed 2,603 rushing yards last season– most in the SEC

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/448) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/341) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Mississippi State allowed 2,603 rushing yards last season– most in the SEC

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 71 receptions (13%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/448) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/341) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Mississippi State has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Mississippi State allowed 2,603 rushing yards last season– most in the SEC

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Mississippi State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 71 receptions (13%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

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