Mississippi St vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Balls lie on the field before an NCAA college football game between Mississippi and Vanderbilt on Thursday, Aug. 29, 2013, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Missouri is a -7 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
  • Mississippi State vs. Missouri Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Mississippi State (5-5) visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on Missouri (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EST.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).

The Mississippi State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+7 -11551.5 -110220
Missouri -7 -10551.5 -110-275

Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Missouri, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi St is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Mississippi State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.77% ROI
  • Mississippi State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Mississippi State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri iss 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).

  • Missouri is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.01% ROI
  • Missouri is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Missouri is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State TEs had just one touchdown on 43 receptions last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.2

Mississippi State have averaged 17.0 yards per completion (732 yards/43 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Matchup Notes for Mississippi State vs. Missouri

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State TEs had just one touchdown on 43 receptions last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.2

Mississippi State have averaged 17.0 yards per completion (732 yards/43 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State TEs had just one touchdown on 43 receptions last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.2

Mississippi State have averaged 17.0 yards per completion (732 yards/43 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State TEs had just one touchdown on 43 receptions last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.2

Mississippi State have averaged 17.0 yards per completion (732 yards/43 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,887 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%


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