- Mississippi is a -10 point favorite vs. Kentucky
- Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Ole Miss (1-0) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ole Miss | -10 -110 | 50.5 -115 | -375 |
| Kentucky | +10 -110 | 50.5 -105 | +300 |
Ole Miss vs Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ole Miss vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ole Miss is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kentucky is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 29.41% ROI
- Kentucky is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Ole Miss was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .459
Ole Miss was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Ole Miss was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Ole Miss was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .625
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Kentucky was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .380
Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482
Kentucky was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. Kentucky
Kentucky has gained 85 yards on 10 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky has gained 85 yards on 10 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky has gained 85 yards on 10 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.6% of 37 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has been targeted 31 times this season — T-3rd-most among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270 receiving yards this season — 3rd-most among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss has been targeted 37 times this season — T-2nd-most among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270 receiving yards this season — 3rd-most among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.6 yards per reception (4,961 yards/319 catches) since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8
Ole Miss QBs have 47 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss QBs have 87 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Skill Players averaged 15.4 yards per reception (4,123 yards/267 catches) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Ole Miss QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Kentucky WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.4
Kentucky has gained 85 yards on 10 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky WRs have caught just 118 of 234 passes (50% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%
Kentucky has gained 85 yards on 10 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss averaged 4.4 sacks per game in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 109 of 433 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Ole Miss averaged 4.4 sacks per game in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 2.5
Ole Miss has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 491 carries (70.1 Carries Per TD) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.1
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 109 of 433 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky has averaged 1.00 interceptions per game (1/1) this season– T-2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 0.56
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game in the 2024 season– 3rd-lowest in FBS; Average: 30.5
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game in the 2024 season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.0
Kentucky tackled opponents for a loss on just 67 of 437 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) in the 2024 season– 5th-worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Kentucky tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 82 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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