Minnesota vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:34 AM

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FILE - Oregon coach Dan Lanning reacts to a play against BYU during the first half of an NCAA college football game Sept. 17, 2022, in Eugene, Ore. Oregon and head coach Dan Lanning have agreed to a contract extension that will extend his deal through the 2028 season. The Oregon Board of Trustees unanimously approved the terms of the contract Thursday, July 27, 2023. Lanning’s new deal will pay him a total of $45 million in base salary over six years. (AP Photo/Andy Nelson, File)

(AP Photo/Andy Nelson)

Oregon is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
Minnesota vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

Minnesota (6-3) visit Autzen Stadium to take on Oregon (8-1) on Nov. 14 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).

The Minnesota vs. Oregon Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Minnesota	+25.5 -110	44.5 -115	1100
Oregon	-25.5 -110	44.5 -105	-2500

Minnesota vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 75.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Minnesota vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Minnesota Best Bets Today

Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Oregon Best Bets Today

Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.25 Units / 47% ROI)
Oregon has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.87% ROI).

Minnesota is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 12.93% ROI
Minnesota is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Minnesota is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon iss 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

Oregon is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 2.76% ROI
Oregon is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Oregon is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.6

Oregon Skill Players had no touchdowns on 13 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Oregon RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,194 yards / 153 touches) on 1st down this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Oregon WRs caught 204 of 267 passes(76% Reception Pct) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Oregon TEs have 168 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among Big Ten Teams

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Minnesota is 11-2 (.846) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .634

Minnesota is 12-3 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Minnesota is 9-1 (.900) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .670

Minnesota is 2-5 (.286) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .447

Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Oregon