- Ohio St is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
- Minnesota vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Minnesota (3-1) visit Ohio Stadium to take on Ohio State (4-0) on Oct. 4 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-115).
The Minnesota vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota | +23.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 | 1350 |
| Ohio State | -23.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 | -5000 |
Minnesota vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Ohio St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Minnesota vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Minnesota Best Bets Today
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets Today
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Minnesota is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 4% ROI
- Minnesota is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Minnesota is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio St iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Ohio State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.04% ROI
- Ohio State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Ohio State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Minnesota is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Minnesota is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Minnesota is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State have gained 40+ yards on 7 of their 62 receptions (11%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Ohio State
Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State have gained 40+ yards on 7 of their 62 receptions (11%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Minnesota is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Minnesota is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Minnesota is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Minnesota is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Minnesota is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State have gained 40+ yards on 7 of their 62 receptions (11%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Minnesota is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Minnesota is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State have completed passes for 40+ yards on 7 of their 80 total passing attempts (9%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 850 yards on 62 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State have gained 40+ yards on 7 of their 62 receptions (11%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
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