Minnesota vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Northwestern running back Cam Porter (4) runs with the ball against Duke during the first half of an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Evanston, Ill. (AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
  • Northwestern is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
  • Minnesota vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Minnesota (6-4) visit Wrigley Field to take on Northwestern (5-5) on Nov. 22 in Chicago, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Minnesota vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 40.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota+3.5 -11040.5 -110155
Northwestern -3.5 -11040.5 -110-190

Minnesota vs Northwestern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Minnesota vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.41 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.8 Units / -62.1% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 7.27% ROI
  • Minnesota is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Minnesota is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 11.66% ROI
  • Northwestern is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Northwestern is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 1,968 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.8 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 191.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 38.1

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 51 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Northwestern

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 38.1

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 51 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 1,968 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.8 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 191.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 1,968 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.8 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 191.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 38.1

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 51 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 1,968 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.8 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 191.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Minnesota Skill Players had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 38.1

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 51 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.


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