Michigan St vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Nebraska is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Michigan St
• Michigan State vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

Michigan State (3-1) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (3-1) on Oct. 4 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Michigan State vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Michigan State vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan St and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Michigan State vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Michigan State Best Bets Today

• Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.22 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets Today

• Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Nebraska have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan St is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI).

• Michigan State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.17% ROI
• Michigan State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Michigan State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Nebraska is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -2.94% ROI
• Nebraska is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Nebraska is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,490 yards on 174 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State has gained 3,481 yards on 281 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 19.5

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3

Nebraska RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Nebraska RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Michigan State vs. Nebraska

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 19.5

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3

Nebraska RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Nebraska RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,490 yards on 174 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State has gained 3,481 yards on 281 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,490 yards on 174 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State has gained 3,481 yards on 281 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 19.5

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3

Nebraska RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Nebraska RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,490 yards on 174 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State has gained 3,481 yards on 281 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 1.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.3 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 19.5

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 29.2 receptions per game (117/4) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3

Nebraska RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Nebraska RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

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