Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

• Michigan is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
• Michigan vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX

Michigan (7-2) visit Wrigley Field to take on Northwestern (5-4) on Nov. 15 in Chicago, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Michigan vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Michigan Best Bets Today

• Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+18.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Northwestern Best Bets Today

• Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.36 Units / 45% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Michigan is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 4.94% ROI
• Michigan is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
• Michigan is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI).

• Northwestern is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 13.43% ROI
• Northwestern is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
• Northwestern is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.

Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 14%

Northwestern allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 107 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Michigan was 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Northwestern

Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Michigan was 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.

Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 14%

Northwestern allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 107 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.

Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 14%

Northwestern allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 107 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Michigan was 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.

Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 14%

Northwestern allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 107 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Michigan was 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .606

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