Michigan vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2025, 12:34 PM

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Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

Michigan is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
Michigan vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

Michigan (8-2) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (4-6) on Nov. 22 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Maryland Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Michigan	-13.5 -115	45.5 -105	-600
Maryland	+13.5 -105	45.5 -115	425

Michigan vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Michigan vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Michigan Best Bets Today

Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+19.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Maryland Best Bets Today

Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

Michigan is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 5.88% ROI
Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Maryland is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI
Maryland is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Maryland is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 50 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 50 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2

Michigan allowed 9 rushing TDs on 66 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .438

Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Maryland