- Wisconsin is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Miami (OH)
- Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Miami Ohio (0-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin (0-0) on Aug. 28 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 39.5 total points.
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Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Miami Ohio | +17.5 -110 | 39.5 -105 | +625 |
| Wisconsin | -17.5 -110 | 39.5 -115 | -1000 |
Miami Ohio vs Wisconsin Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 81.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Miami Ohio vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Miami Ohio Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin was 5-7 against the spread last college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -63.16% ROI
- Wisconsin is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Wisconsin is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Miami (OH) is undefeated (17-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .712
Miami (OH) is 20-2 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
Miami (OH) is 20-2 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .626
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio
Wisconsin is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .293
Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Wisconsin is 8-13 (.381) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .532
Wisconsin is 12-3 (.800) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .616
Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s TEs gained 202 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs gained 202 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s QBs threw for 2,360 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.7 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 194.3 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs had 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs had 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Miami (OH)’s RBs rushed for 1,897 yards on 336 carries (5.6 YPC) last season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 4.6 YPC last season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 25.6 yards per reception (205 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Miami (OH) Skill Players have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (224 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Miami (OH)’s WRs had 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Miami (OH) RBs averaged 5.6 Yards per Carry (1,897 yards/336 carries) in the 2024 season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations in the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5
Wisconsin TEs have averaged 29.5 yards per reception (59 yards/2 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.8
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (46 Rec/14 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Wisconsin’s TEs gained 202 yards on 28 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.2 Passing Attempts per TD (462 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Miami (OH) opponents has averaged 40.3 Passing Attempts per TD (887 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.0
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.2 Passing Attempts per TD (462 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Miami (OH) opponents has averaged 40.3 Passing Attempts per TD (887 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 35.8
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 77 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.4
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
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