Miami (OH) vs W Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – MAC Championship

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • W Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Miami (OH)
  • Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Miami Ohio (7-5) visit Ford Field to take on Western Michigan (8-4) on Dec. 6 in Detroit, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami Ohio+2.5 -11043.5 -105120
Western Michigan -2.5 -11043.5 -115-145

Miami Ohio vs Western Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 55.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Ohio vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.92 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan iss 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 27.33% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 338 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 338 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 338 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (31/260) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 338 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632


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