Miami (OH) vs N Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 02, 2025, 2:50 PM

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FILE -Northern Illinois head coach Thomas Hammock walks the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Kent State, Saturday, Dec. 4, 2021, in Detroit. Northern Illinois went from lovable underdog to leader of the Mid-American Conference pack in one season. Keeping the title will be no walk in the park for the Huskies. After going from winless in 2020 to conference champs in 2021, The Huskies will try to become just the third team since 2001 to win consecutive conference crowns and the first since Northern Illinois last achieved the feat in 2011-12. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio, File)

(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio, File)

Miami (OH) is a -4.5 point favorite vs. N Illinois
Miami Ohio vs. Northern Illinois Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Miami Ohio (1-3) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on Northern Illinois (1-3) on Oct. 4 in DeKalb, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Miami (OH) is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Miami Ohio vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Miami Ohio vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Miami Ohio	-4.5 -110	38.5 -115	-200
Northern Illinois	+4.5 -110	38.5 -105	165

Miami Ohio vs Northern Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and N Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Ohio vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Miami Ohio Best Bets Today

Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Northern Illinois Best Bets Today

Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.96 Units / 51% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

N Illinois iss 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

Northern Illinois is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -25.32% ROI
Northern Illinois is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
Northern Illinois is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI

Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois

Miami (OH) has 263 receptions in 17 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 18.6 yards per reception (483 yards/26 catches) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Miami (OH) have gained 40+ yards on 4 of their 38 receptions (10%) this season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged 13.0 carries per game (39 carries / 3 games) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 25.2

Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio

Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0

Northern Illinois allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21

Northern Illinois has allowed 1.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (54 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 5.1

Northern Illinois has not forced a fumble (103 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 53.0

Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Northern Illinois