- Fresno St is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Miami (OH)
- Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Arizona Bowl TV Channel: CW
Miami Ohio (7-6) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Fresno State (8-4) on Dec. 27 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in the Arizona Bowl, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Miami Ohio | +4.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | 155 |
| Fresno State | -4.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -190 |
Miami Ohio vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Miami Ohio vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Miami Ohio Best Bets Today
- Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.62 Units / 18% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets Today
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (OH) is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St iss 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.56% ROI).
- Fresno State is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 40.96% ROI
- Fresno State is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -20.75% ROI
- Fresno State is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI
Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have thrown one TD on 68 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 51 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9
Fresno State have averaged just 9.9 yards per completion (1,840 yards/186 completions) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio
Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State
Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have thrown one TD on 68 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 51 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9
Fresno State have averaged just 9.9 yards per completion (1,840 yards/186 completions) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have thrown one TD on 68 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 51 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9
Fresno State have averaged just 9.9 yards per completion (1,840 yards/186 completions) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have thrown one TD on 68 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 351 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 51 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9
Fresno State have averaged just 9.9 yards per completion (1,840 yards/186 completions) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
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