Miami (OH) vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Buffalo head coach Pete Lembo, left, watches his team during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Northern Illinois on Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in DeKalb, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • Miami (OH) is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
  • Miami Ohio vs. Buffalo Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Miami Ohio (5-5) visit UB Stadium to take on Buffalo (5-5) on Nov. 19 in Buffalo, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Miami (OH) is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Miami Ohio vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

Bet now on Buffalo U vs Miami (OH) & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami Ohio vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami Ohio-2.5 -11538.5 -105-140
Buffalo +2.5 -10538.5 -115115

Miami Ohio vs Buffalo Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Buffalo U, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Ohio vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Buffalo U vs Miami (OH) and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.92 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U iss 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI).

  • Buffalo is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -11.32% ROI
  • Buffalo is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Buffalo is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo

Miami (OH) caught just 11 of 38 passes(29% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Miami (OH) threw 0 TDs on 38 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (OH) WRs were targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) TEs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 26.4 targets per game this season — T-9th-highest among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo WRs have averaged 15.1 receptions per game (136/9) this season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Buffalo

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 26.4 targets per game this season — T-9th-highest among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo WRs have averaged 15.1 receptions per game (136/9) this season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Miami (OH) caught just 11 of 38 passes(29% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Miami (OH) threw 0 TDs on 38 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (OH) WRs were targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) TEs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) caught just 11 of 38 passes(29% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Miami (OH) threw 0 TDs on 38 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (OH) WRs were targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) TEs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 26.4 targets per game this season — T-9th-highest among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo WRs have averaged 15.1 receptions per game (136/9) this season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) caught just 11 of 38 passes(29% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Miami (OH) threw 0 TDs on 38 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25.0

Miami (OH) Skill Players averaged 19.5 yards per reception (410 yards/21 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (OH) WRs were targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) TEs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 26.4 targets per game this season — T-9th-highest among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo WRs have averaged 15.1 receptions per game (136/9) this season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6


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